The world’s 40 largest mining companies have delivered an impressive financial performance in 2017, increasing revenue by 23 per cent to USD$600bn. This is according to PwC’s ‘Mine 2018’ report, which was released on the sidelines of the Junior Mining Indaba conference held in Johannesburg today.
The report analysis confirms an upswing in the mining cycle, which comes on the back of rising global economic growth and a recovery in commodity prices. Helped by astute cost-saving strategies over the past few years, margins and cash-generating ability has improved significantly, leading to a 126 per cent jump in net profits.
PWC 2018 outlook indicates that the Top 40’s improved financial performance will continue as companies continue to benefit from this upward momentum in the mining cycle.
Michal Kotzé, Energy, Utilities and Mining Industry Leader for PwC Africa, says: “For the world’s Top 40 Miners, 2017 was a remarkable year. We’re expecting the improved performance to continue into 2018 as companies continue to reap the benefits of the upswing in the mining cycle.
“One of the risks currently facing the world’s top miners is the temptation to acquire mineral-producing assets at any price in order to meet rising demand. While we expect capital expenditure to increase next year as companies implement their long-term growth strategies, miners must be careful to maintain discipline and transparency in the allocation of capital.”
While the Top 40 Miners are enjoying a bounce back, miners will need to stay focused and deliberate in the pursuit of their long-term goals to create value for all stakeholders on a sustainable basis.
Balance sheets in good shape
Miners continued to focus on strengthening their balance sheets in 2017, with $25bn being allocated to the repayment of debt, and capital expenditure at a record low of $48bn. As a result, gearing has fallen from 41 per cent to 31 per cent, which is back in line with the Top 40’s 15-year average. With the liquidity concerns that were still lingering in 2016 now largely resolved, balance sheets are strong, and companies have the flexibility to act.
Andries Rossouw, Assurance Partner at PwC, says: “In 2018, we expect that favourable market conditions, higher commodity prices and strong internal discipline will produce increased liquidity and balance sheet strength.
‘While we expect to see an increase in value and growth opportunities in 2018, we anticipate that this will be tempered by a continued focus on maintaining a robust and flexible balance sheet.”
Record high increase in tax contributions
Tax expenses increased 81 per cent in 2017, with cash taxes paid to governments rising by 67 per cent, despite the fact that corporate tax rates remained relatively stable across most key markets.
The jump in tax expenses was driven mostly by increased profit and the impact of USA tax reforms, which saw a one-off 4 per cent (or $2.8bn) rise in the effective tax rate due to a revaluation of deferred tax. It is expected that USA tax reforms will ease the tax burden on USA operations going forward.
Shareholder windfall to continue, but for how long?
Shareholders returns have almost doubled year-on-year, from $16bn in 2016 to $36bn. Based on current levels of performance, dividends are likely to reach record highs in 2018.
“Shareholders who endured the boom cycles of 2008 and 2012 will be keen to reap the rewards of their patience now that optimism and profits are back. But the immediate temptation for larger returns – for shareholders or other stakeholders – must also be balanced against the on-going need to invest for sustainable long-term value,” said Kotze.
New entrants staking their claim
2017 saw a range of new entrants active in the mining sector. Private Equity (PE) investors took a keen interest in mining investment opportunities, for example, and were active participants in almost every quality coal deal brought to market in Australia during the year.
There are also examples of non-mining companies partnering or merging with miners to secure access to commodities. For example, Agrium, a Canadian fertiliser and chemical wholesale and retail company merged with the world’s largest potash producer, PotashCorp, while Tesla continued to invest in lithium supplies, including their recent transaction with Kidman Resources in Australia.
Safety better, but always room for improvement
In 2017 there was a 36 per cent reduction in the number of fatalities among the 28 companies (of the Top 40) that disclose safety statistics. Of the 22 companies that disclose injury statistics, 15 reported that the number of injuries had either fallen or remained consistent compared to the previous year.
While an improvement in the safety record of the Top 40 is welcome news, there is clearly more work to do to ensure a safe working environment for all employees.
How is South Africa impacted?
Bulk commodities such as coal, copper, iron ore, zinc, manganese and chrome also showed remarkable price increases over the last two years. Miners of these commodities in Africa will reflect similar trends to those explained for the global mining industry.
Unfortunately, precious metals haven’t done as well. The US-dollar gold price has remained relatively flat and platinum prices are at extreme lows. With higher input costs driven by input cost inflation, miners of these commodities are not experiencing the same growth as other commodities. They are still faced with the challenges of the bottom of the commodity cycle and job losses and mine closures are real risks.
PwC’s Mine 2018 analysis is based on the major Top 40 global mining companies by market capitalisation. The results aggregated in this report have been sourced from the latest publicly available information, primarily annual reports and financial reports available to shareholders
- Market capitalisation of the Top 40 up 30% to USD $926 billion (bn)
- Revenue up 23% to $600bn
- Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) up 38% to $146bn
- Net profit up 126% to $61bn and improvement expected to continue in 2018
- Miners must focus on the goal of ‘mining for profit, not for tonnes’ as market improves
- Activity from new entrants and non-traditional players expected to continue in 2018